Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 24
Mar 9, 2025 at 1.45pm UK
Stadion Energa Gdansk

Gdansk
1 - 2
Gornik

Kapic (45+2')
Olsson (25'), Glogowski (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Podolski (48'), Janza (59')
Janicki (6'), Prebsl (69'), Buksa (88'), Majchrowicz (89')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lechia Gdansk and Gornik Zabrze.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rakow 3-1 Gdansk
Monday, March 3 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gornik 0-1 Cracovia
Friday, February 28 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Lechia GdanskDrawGornik Zabrze
46.03% (-0.377 -0.38)24.86% (0.099999999999998 0.1)29.1% (0.278 0.28)
Both teams to score 55.58% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)47.34% (0.281 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (-0.26 -0.26)69.56% (0.262 0.26)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)20.62% (0.278 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.83% (-0.439 -0.44)53.17% (0.44 0.44)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (0.056000000000012 0.06)29.98% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91% (0.069000000000003 0.07)66.09% (-0.068000000000012 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Lechia Gdansk 46.03%
    Gornik Zabrze 29.1%
    Draw 24.86%
Lechia GdanskDrawGornik Zabrze
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.71% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 46.03%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.098 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.1%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 7
Gornik
2-3
Gdansk
Olkowski (54'), Nascimento (82')
Rasak (7'), Ismaheel (56')
Tsarenko (24'), Olsson (28'), V'Yunnik (68')
Weirauch (77'), Kalahur (86')