Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 21

Feb 15, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

Arena Zabrze

Gornik
3 - 2
Radomiak Radom

Josema (4', 39'), Podolski (71')
Podolski (38'), Josema (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Barbosa (21' pen.), Grzesik (45+2')
Wolski (33'), Kikolski (59')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Radomiak Radom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions

Last Game: Szczecin 3-0 Gornik
Friday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Radomiak Radom

All competitions

Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-1 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, February 8 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Radomiak Radom win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gornik Zabrze would win this match.

Result
Gornik Zabrze	Draw	Radomiak Radom
59.78% ( -0.24)	22.07% ( 0.09)	18.14% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 51.44% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.52% (

-0.19)

46.48% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.24% (

-0.18)

68.75% (

0.17)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.85% (

-0.14)

15.14% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.27% (

-0.27)

43.73% (

0.27)

Radomiak Radom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.62% (

0.06)

39.37% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.93% (

0.05)

76.07% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Gornik Zabrze 59.78%

Radomiak Radom 18.14%

Draw 22.07%

Gornik Zabrze	Draw	Radomiak Radom
1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 59.78%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.07%	0-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.14%