Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Radomiak Radom win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gornik Zabrze would win this match.