Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 26

Mar 30, 2025 at 1.45pm UK

Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
4 - 1
Stal Mielec

Madrzyk (28' og.), Ede (49'), Labojko (60'), Mraz (82')
Najemski (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wolkowicz (90+8')
Guillaumier (21')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions

Last Game: Gornik 4-0 Motor Lublin
Saturday, March 15 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Stal Mielec

All competitions

Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-4 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, March 15 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motor Lublin would win this match.

Result
Motor Lublin	Draw	Stal Mielec
50.68% ( 0.42)	24.17% ( -0.08)	25.16% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 54.61% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.88% (

0.08)

47.12% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.65% (

0.07)

69.36% (

-0.06)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.39% (

0.2)

18.62% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.09% (

0.33)

49.91% (

-0.32)

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.1% (

-0.24)

32.91% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.52% (

-0.27)

69.48% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Motor Lublin 50.67%

Stal Mielec 25.16%

Draw 24.16%

Motor Lublin	Draw	Stal Mielec
1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 50.67%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.16%	0-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 25.16%