Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 0-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gornik Zabrze would win this match.