Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 25

Mar 15, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

Arena Zabrze

Gornik
4 - 0
Motor Lublin

Podolski (25'), Kmet (50'), Hellebrand (53'), Sow (64')
Ismaheel (16'), Janicki (17'), Szczesniak (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bartos (39')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Motor Lublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions

Last Game: Gdansk 1-2 Gornik
Sunday, March 9 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Motor Lublin

All competitions

Last Game: Motor Lublin 3-3 Legia
Monday, March 10 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 0-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gornik Zabrze would win this match.

Result
Gornik Zabrze	Draw	Motor Lublin
51.59% ( 0.02)	23.7%	24.71% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 55.67% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.5% (

-0.02)

45.5% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.17% (

-0.02)

67.83% (

0.02)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.35% (

-0)

17.65% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.73% (

-0)

48.27%

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6% (

-0.03)

32.4% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.08% (

-0.04)

68.92% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Gornik Zabrze 51.59%

Motor Lublin 24.71%

Draw 23.7%

Gornik Zabrze	Draw	Motor Lublin
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 51.59%	1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.7%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 24.71%