Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 26
Mar 29, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Energa Gdansk

Gdansk
1 - 0
Jagiellonia

V'Yunnik (65')
Pila (44'), Kalahur (90+3'), Kalahur (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lechia Gdansk and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 2-1 Gdansk
Friday, March 14 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-1 Lech Poznan
Sunday, March 16 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lechia Gdansk would win this match.

Result
Lechia GdanskDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
42.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)33.14% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 58.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (0.0039999999999978 0)44.18% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (0.0039999999999978 0)66.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (0.0010000000000048 0)20.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (0.0049999999999955 0)53.72% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22%25.77% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)60.72% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lechia Gdansk 42.31%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 33.14%
    Draw 24.54%
Lechia GdanskDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 42.31%
1-1 @ 11.44%
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 2.74%
0-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.14%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 1.45pm
Gameweek 9
Jagiellonia
3-2
Gdansk
Silva (13'), Imaz (71'), Skrzypczak (75' pen.)
Sacek (84'), Moutinho (90+5'), Kubicki (90+4')
V'Yunnik (16'), Khlan (59')
Olsson (46'), V'Yunnik (69')