Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.