Conference League
Mar 13, 2025 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Jan Breydelstadion
  • Hannes Van der Bruggen 8' goal
  • Felipe Augusto 50' goal
  • yellowcard Jaroslaw Kubicki 21'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 81'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Normann Hansen 88'
  • yellowcard Jesus Imaz 89'

Cercle Brugge vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cercle Brugge

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 6, 2025 8.00pm
Jagiellonia 3 - 0 Cercle Brugge

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 6, 2025 8.00pm
Jagiellonia 3 - 0 Cercle Brugge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.

Result

Cercle Brugge 42.73% (-5.08)
Draw 25.02% (-0.22)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 32.25% (+5.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.7% (+3.87)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.4% (+3.62)
Under 2.5 46.61% (-3.62)
Over 3.5 31.13% (+3.31)
Under 3.5 68.88% (-3.30)
Over 4.5 15.46% (+2.27)
Under 4.5 84.54% (-2.26)

Cercle Brugge Goals

Over 0.5 78.2% (-0.78)
Under 0.5 21.8% (+0.78)
Over 1.5 44.99% (-1.20)
Under 1.5 55.01% (+1.21)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 72.51% (+5.61)
Under 0.5 27.5% (-5.61)
Over 1.5 37% (+6.71)
Under 1.5 63% (-6.70)

Score analysis

Cercle Brugge 42.73%
Draw 25.01%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 32.26%
Cercle Brugge
1-0 @ 9.13% (-1.72)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.38)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-1.51)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.31)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.87)
3-2 @ 2.94% (+0.26)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.16)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.38)
4-2 @ 1.12% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 42.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.22)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.97)
2-2 @ 5.8% (+0.63)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-97.84)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.01%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
0-1 @ 7.74% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.61% (+0.98)
0-2 @ 5% (+0.75)
1-3 @ 3.28% (+0.84)
2-3 @ 2.5% (+0.59)
0-3 @ 2.15% (+0.59)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-66.55)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.26%

Head to Head

Conference League
Mar 6, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Leon Flach 40' yellowcard
  • Miki Villar 62' yellowcard
  • Afimico Pululu 69' goal
  • Taras Romanczuk 75' goal
  • Afimico Pululu 78' goal
  • yellowcard Abu Francis 24'
  • redcard Abu Francis 59'
  • yellowcard 77'