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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion

Cercle Brugge
2 - 0
Jagiellonia

Van der Bruggen (8'), Augusto (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kubicki (21'), Moutinho (81'), Normann Hansen (88'), Imaz (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Cercle Brugge and Jagiellonia Bialystok, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cercle Brugge

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-3 Brugge
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 0-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, March 9 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.

Result
Cercle BruggeDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
42.73% (-5.077 -5.08)25.02% (-0.219 -0.22)32.25% (5.303 5.3)
Both teams to score 56.7% (3.866 3.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.4% (3.62 3.62)46.61% (-3.612 -3.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.13% (3.305 3.31)68.88% (-3.297 -3.3)
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (-0.77200000000001 -0.77)21.8% (0.78 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (-1.194 -1.19)55.01% (1.202 1.2)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (5.609 5.61)27.5% (-5.602 -5.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37% (6.704 6.7)63% (-6.696 -6.7)
Score Analysis
    Cercle Brugge 42.73%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 32.26%
    Draw 25.01%
Cercle BruggeDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 9.13% (-1.719 -1.72)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.378 -0.38)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-1.508 -1.51)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.305 -0.31)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.868 -0.87)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.254 0.25)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.16 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.371 -0.37)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 42.73%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.964 -0.96)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.624 0.62)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.276 0.28)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.74% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.978 0.98)
0-2 @ 5% (0.744 0.74)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.831 0.83)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.589 0.59)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.583 0.58)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.381 0.38)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.26%

How you voted: Cercle Brugge vs Jagiellonia

Cercle Brugge
49.2%
Draw
23.7%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
27.1%
59
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2025 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Jagiellonia
3-0
Cercle Brugge
Pululu (69' pen., 78'), Romanczuk (75')
Flach (40'), Villar (62')

Francis (24'), (77')
Francis (59')
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