Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 27
Apr 4, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
1 - 1
Cracovia

Wolsztynski (11')
Dadok (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kallman (59')
Minchev (37'), Henriksson (53')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and KS Cracovia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Motor Lublin 4-1 Stal Mielec
Sunday, March 30 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

KS Cracovia

All competitions
Last Game: Cracovia 3-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Saturday, March 29 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stal Mielec win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stal Mielec win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest KS Cracovia win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Stal MielecDrawKS Cracovia
43.63% (-0.411 -0.41)25.97% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)30.39% (0.477 0.48)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.46 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (0.483 0.48)51.4% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (0.421 0.42)73.21% (-0.426 -0.43)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (0.010999999999996 0.01)23.43% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.56% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.43% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (0.589 0.59)31.14% (-0.594 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (0.683 0.68)67.47% (-0.688 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 43.62%
    KS Cracovia 30.39%
    Draw 25.97%
Stal MielecDrawKS Cracovia
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 43.62%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.39%

How you voted: Stal Mielec vs Cracovia

Stal Mielec
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
KS Cracovia
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 10
Cracovia
1-1
Stal Mielec
Kallman (86' pen.)
Glik (90+6')
Guillaumier (30')
Guillaumier (9'), Niedzwiedz (10'), Senger (34'), Dadok (70'), Madrzyk (74')
Senger (85')
Dec 9, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 18
Cracovia
2-2
Stal Mielec
Kallman (69'), Knap (80' pen.)
Meriluoto (86'), Getinger (87')
Jul 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Stal Mielec
2-2
Cracovia
Shkurin (24'), Domanski (36')
Ehmann (44'), Trabka (49')
Jaroszynski (54'), Rakoczy (61')
Knap (22'), Oshima (90+8')