Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 29

Apr 21, 2025 at 1.45pm UK

Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
1 - 3
Zaglebie Lubin

Imaz (15')
Diaby-Fadiga (67'), Ebosse (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Szmyt (29'), Pienko (88' pen., 90+9')
Kolan (45+4'), Szmyt (55'), Radwanski (90+6'), Radwanski (90+6')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Zaglebie Lubin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Polish Ekstraklasa

Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-1 Betis
Thursday, April 17 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions

Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Gornik
Friday, April 11 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Zaglebie Lubin
48.16% ( -4.59)	24.54% ( 0.9)	27.3% ( 3.7)

Both teams to score 55.34% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.94% (

-0.77)

47.06% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.7% (

-0.72)

69.3% (

0.72)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.4% (

-2.09)

19.6% (

2.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.45% (

-3.52)

51.55% (

3.53)

Zaglebie Lubin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.83% (

2.61)

31.17% (

-2.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.5% (

2.94)

67.51% (

-2.93)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 48.16%

Zaglebie Lubin 27.3%

Draw 24.53%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Zaglebie Lubin
1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.87) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.52) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.81) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.37) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.48) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.16%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.53%	0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.7) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.69) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.67) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.43) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.35) Other @ 2.87% Total : 27.3%