MX23RW : Wednesday, May 21 04:48:17| >> :120:41893:41893:
Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 17, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski
Real Betis logo

Jagiellonia
1 - 1
Betis

Churlinov (81')
Imaz (44'), Churlinov (82'), T (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bakambu (78')
Antony (39'), Sabaly (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Legia 0-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, April 13 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

We said: Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2 Real Betis

Betis proved to be a cut above Jagiellonia in the first leg and probably should have won the game by a bigger margin. While we believe that Jagiellonia will offer a stiffer test with home advantage in their favour, we think that Betis will do enough to build upon last week's performance by claiming a narrow win in Poland. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawReal Betis
30.88% (-1.644 -1.64) 26.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 42.73% (1.611 1.61)
Both teams to score 51.65% (-0.727 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11% (-0.649 -0.65)52.89% (0.65 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.49% (-0.557 -0.56)74.5% (0.556 0.56)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44% (-1.455 -1.46)31.56% (1.455 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.04% (-1.711 -1.71)67.96% (1.712 1.71)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (0.53099999999999 0.53)24.54% (-0.531 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.99% (0.73999999999999 0.74)59.01% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 30.88%
    Real Betis 42.73%
    Draw 26.38%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-0 @ 5.15% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.88%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.44 0.44)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.143 0.14)
0-2 @ 7.64% (0.42 0.42)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.129 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.58% (0.248 0.25)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.067 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 42.73%

How you voted: Jagiellonia vs Betis

Jagiellonia Bialystok
21.6%
Draw
12.5%
Real Betis
65.9%
88
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2025 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Betis
2-0
Jagiellonia
Bakambu (24'), Rodriguez Caraballo (45+2')
Isco (17')

Villar (17'), Romanczuk (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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