Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.