MX23RW : Tuesday, March 18 03:34:21| >> :600:176311:176311:
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Real Betis logo

Guimaraes
0 - 4
Betis


Embalo (43'), Oliveira (45+1'), Silva (49'), Santos (56'), Mendes (70'), Maga (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bakambu (5', 20'), Antony (58'), Isco (80')
Altimira (41'), Llorente (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Real Betis

We expect the second leg to be a closely-fought contest like last week's meeting in Spain, but we think that Vitoria will make full use of home advantage to claim a narrow win, especially as they have won 12 of their 19 competitive home games this season (D6, L1). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawReal Betis
45.47% (0.040999999999997 0.04) 26.14% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 28.39% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.07% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (0.034999999999997 0.03)53.01% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)74.6% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (0.033999999999992 0.03)23.25% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (0.050999999999995 0.05)57.17% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.45% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)70.09% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 45.46%
    Real Betis 28.39%
    Draw 26.14%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.46%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.39%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Betis

Vitoria de Guimaraes
50.5%
Draw
8.6%
Real Betis
40.9%
93
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2025 5.45pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Betis
2-2
Guimaraes
Bakambu (48'), Isco (75')
Ruibal (53'), Antony (81'), Isco (86'), Avila (90+5')
Mendes (51'), Oliveira (81')
Nov 7, 2013 8.05pm
Group Stage
Guimaraes
0-1
Betis

Barrientos (17'), Filipe Bras (63'), Moussa Maazou (84')
Chuli (93')
Verdu (58')
Oct 24, 2013 6pm
Group Stage
Betis
1-0
Guimaraes
Vadillo (50')
Molina (27'), Vadillo Cifuentes (64'), Chuli (87'), Didac (89')

Ba (27'), Santos (32'), Rodrigues (58'), Douglas (87')
rhs 2.0
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