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Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Betis
2 - 2
Guimaraes

Bakambu (48'), Isco (75')
Ruibal (53'), Antony (81'), Isco (86'), Avila (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mendes (51'), Oliveira (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Real Betis and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Real BetisDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
36% (0.019000000000005 0.02)26.17% (0.004999999999999 0)37.83% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.62% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.06% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)50.94% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)72.81% (0.012 0.01)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (0.007000000000005 0.01)27.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)62.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)26.25% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)61.36% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 36%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 37.83%
    Draw 26.17%
Real BetisDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 36%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 9.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 37.83%

How you voted: Betis vs Guimaraes

Real Betis
85.6%
Draw
10.8%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
3.6%
111
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2013 8.05pm
Group Stage
Guimaraes
0-1
Betis

Barrientos (17'), Filipe Bras (63'), Moussa Maazou (84')
Chuli (93')
Verdu (58')
Oct 24, 2013 6pm
Group Stage
Betis
1-0
Guimaraes
Vadillo (50')
Molina (27'), Vadillo Cifuentes (64'), Chuli (87'), Didac (89')

Ba (27'), Santos (32'), Rodrigues (58'), Douglas (87')