Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.