MX23RW : Wednesday, February 12 01:12:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Estoril
1 - 0
Guimaraes

Carvalho (47')
Alvaro (19'), Xeka (29'), Holsgrove (31')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Santos (26'), Mendes (84'), Varela (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santa Clara 2-3 Estoril
Saturday, January 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Arouca
Saturday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

While Vitoria have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning the last seven encounters, their current struggles to turn draws into victories could shift this one toward a more balanced outcome. Estoril's recent form suggests they will put up a strong challenge, but with both teams having their strengths and weaknesses, a stalemate feels like the most likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
18.73% (-0.462 -0.46) 23.45% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 57.81% (0.514 0.51)
Both teams to score 48.28% (-0.601 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.75% (-0.405 -0.41)51.25% (0.402 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (-0.354 -0.35)73.09% (0.352 0.35)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.51% (-0.757 -0.76)41.49% (0.756 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.01% (-0.674 -0.67)77.99% (0.672 0.67)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (0.037999999999997 0.04)17.49% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.02% (0.065999999999995 0.07)47.98% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 18.73%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.81%
    Draw 23.44%
Estoril PraiaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 4.9% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 2.81% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.44% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 18.73%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 12.65% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 11.03% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.41% (0.127 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.64% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.8% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 57.81%

Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 2
Guimaraes
1-0
Estoril
Andres Ramirez (32')
Villanueva (10'), Borevkovic (26')

Begraoui (56')
Mar 2, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 24
Estoril
1-3
Guimaraes
Marques (69' pen.)
Marques (45+3')
Mendes (8'), Silva (22'), Oliveira (42')
Ribeiro (28'), Silva (55'), Charles (87'), Andre (90+5'), Handel (90+1')
Oct 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Guimaraes
3-2
Estoril
Silva (56'), Mendes (69'), Safira (90+3' pen.)
Mendes (28'), Silva (53'), Silva (54'), Silva (70')
Araujo (12'), Gomes (20')
Feltes (11'), Fernandes (53'), Carlos (87'), Vital (90+9')
Holsgrove (40')
Feb 4, 2023 8.30pm
Aug 14, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Guimaraes
1-0
Estoril
Silva (16')
Silva (34'), Silva (41'), Almeida (71')

Joaozinho (14'), Arthur (39'), Esteves (43'), Lea Siliki (87')
Esteves (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon21163257164151
2Benfica21152449183147
3Porto21134445182743
4Braga21134438201843
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2112272522338
6Casa Pia219662725233
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes217953025530
8Estoril PraiaEstoril218672632-630
9FamalicaoFamalicao2151062224-225
10Rio AveRio Ave216782335-1225
11MoreirenseMoreirense2165102531-623
12AroucaArouca2165101932-1323
13Gil Vicente215792332-922
14Nacional2164111928-922
15AVS213991631-1518
16Estrela Amadora2145121834-1617
17SC FarenseFarense2136121330-1715
18BoavistaBoavista2126131436-2212


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