Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 26, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
1 - 0
Guimaraes

Begraoui (40'), Carvalho (47')
Alvaro (19'), Xeka (29'), Holsgrove (31')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Santos (26'), Mendes (84'), Varela (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Santa Clara 2-3 Estoril
Saturday, January 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Arouca
Saturday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
18.73% ( -0.46)	23.45% ( -0.05)	57.81% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 48.28% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.75% (

-0.41)

51.25% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.91% (

-0.35)

73.09% (

0.35)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.51% (

-0.76)

41.49% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.01% (

-0.67)

77.99% (

0.67)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.51% (

0.04)

17.49% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.02% (

0.07)

47.98% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 18.73%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.81%

Draw 23.44%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.73%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 11.03% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.41% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.81%