Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 5, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
2 - 4
Estoril

Luiz (57'), Pinho (70')
Gabriel Coelho Oliveira (48'), Pinho (56')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Xeka (15'), Begraoui (25'), Gabriel Coelho Oliveira (31' og.), Marques (76')
Marques (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: AVS 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, December 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Moreirense
Saturday, December 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Estoril Praia
50.12% ( 0.47)	24.81% ( 0.11)	25.07% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 52.49% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.13% (

-0.94)

49.86% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.13% (

-0.85)

71.86% (

0.84)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.09% (

-0.18)

19.91% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.95% (

-0.29)

52.04% (

0.29)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.54% (

-1)

34.45% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.83% (

-1.08)

71.16% (

1.07)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 50.11%

Estoril Praia 25.07%

Draw 24.8%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.11%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.8%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.07%