Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 15, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
0 - 2
Casa Pia

Costa (38'), Garcia (40'), Boma (61'), Livolant (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Segovia (56'), Cassiano (63')
Pedro Goulart Silva (68'), Segovia (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 2-2 Estoril
Friday, December 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 AVS
Sunday, December 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Casa Pia
46.17% ( -0.45)	26.51% ( 0.09)	27.31% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 49.26% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.98% (

-0.12)

55.01% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.72% (

-0.1)

76.28% (

0.1)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.21% (

-0.26)

23.79% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.05% (

-0.38)

57.94% (

0.38)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.63% (

0.23)

35.37% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.87% (

0.23)

72.13% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 46.17%

Casa Pia 27.32%

Draw 26.5%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.17%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.32%