Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Nov 9, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
1 - 1
Farense

Cassiano (32' pen.)
Brito (4'), Kraev (61'), Larrazabal (84'), Kluivert (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Balde (7')
Merghem (41'), Victor (72'), Moreno Ojeda (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Casa Pia
Saturday, November 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, November 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	SC Farense
46.91% ( -0.02)	26.54% ( -0.03)	26.56% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 48.62% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.43% (

0.14)

55.57% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.26% (

0.12)

76.74% (

-0.11)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32% (

0.05)

23.68% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.2% (

0.07)

57.8% (

-0.07)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.71% (

0.12)

36.29% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.92% (

0.12)

73.08% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 46.91%

SC Farense 26.56%

Draw 26.53%

Casa Pia	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.91%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 26.56%