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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Farense logo

Casa Pia
1 - 1
Farense

Cassiano (32' pen.)
Brito (4'), Kraev (61'), Larrazabal (84'), Kluivert (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Balde (7')
Merghem (41'), Victor (72'), Moreno Ojeda (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Casa Pia
Saturday, November 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, November 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 2-0 SC Farense

It has been a turbulent start to the campaign for Farense, who find themselves rock-bottom in the table, having managed just four points from their opening 10 matches. Having also stumbled into the season, Casa Pia have turned a corner in recent weeks and we are backing them to extend their fine run of results with another solid display in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Casa PiaDrawSC Farense
46.91% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02) 26.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 26.56% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 48.62% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.43% (0.142 0.14)55.57% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.26% (0.115 0.12)76.74% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.052000000000007 0.05)23.68% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.073999999999998 0.07)57.8% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (0.12 0.12)36.29% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (0.121 0.12)73.08% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 46.91%
    SC Farense 26.56%
    Draw 26.53%
Casa PiaDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 12.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.91%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.6% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 26.56%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Farense

Casa Pia
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
SC Farense
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 18
Casa Pia
1-3
Farense
Fernando (87')
Matias (24'), Muscat (40'), Duarte (75')
Muscat (90+5'), Mota (90')
Aug 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 1
Farense
0-3
Casa Pia

Elbachir Belloumi (65'), Barbosa (90+2')
Clayton (15'), Roberto dos Santos (64'), Godwin (90' pen.)
Neto (45+3'), Batista (49'), Mukendi (74'), Zolotic (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Browns
@
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1211013963333
2Porto1210023082230
3Benfica119113072328
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara128041512324
5Braga127232011923
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes126331611521
7FamalicaoFamalicao124531311217
8MoreirenseMoreirense125251717017
9Rio AveRio Ave124351322-915
10Casa Pia123451016-613
11Estoril PraiaEstoril123451017-713
12BoavistaBoavista12246715-810
13Gil Vicente122461423-910
14AVS12246920-1110
15Nacional11236615-99
16Estrela Amadora122371021-119
17SC FarenseFarense12228618-128
18AroucaArouca12228621-158


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