Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Nov 2, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
2 - 2
Casa Pia

Clayton (16'), Neto (40')
Richards (37'), Aderlan (69'), Vrousai (82')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Moreira (3'), Cassiano (28')
Segovia (43'), Brito (85'), Kraev (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 5-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, October 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Nacional
Friday, October 25 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 54.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Casa Pia
54.9% ( -0.38)	23.85% ( 0.3)	21.25% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 50.95% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.31% (

-1.15)

49.69% (

1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.3% (

-1.04)

71.7% (

1.05)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.02% (

-0.56)

17.97% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.18% (

-0.98)

48.82% (

0.98)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.11% (

-0.58)

37.89% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.34% (

-0.57)

74.66% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 54.89%

Casa Pia 21.25%

Draw 23.85%

Rio Ave	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.43% Total : 54.89%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.85%	0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.58% Total : 21.25%