Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Rio Ave2 - 2Casa Pia
We said: Rio Ave 1-1 Casa Pia
While Rio Ave have struggled to get going in recent weeks, they will be backing themselves to find their feet this weekend as they return home, where they are yet to suffer defeat in the league this season. However, Casa Pia have put together a fine run of results of late and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils at the Estadio dos Arcos. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 54.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Casa Pia |
54.9% ( -0.38) | 23.85% ( 0.3) | 21.25% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.95% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
