Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 25, 2024 at 6.45pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
1 - 0
Nacional

Kluivert (39')
Brito (48'), Mukendi (89'), Zolotic (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gomes (62'), Ulisses (77'), Thomas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Amora 0-5 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Nacional

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Uniao de Leiria 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Casa Pia.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Nacional
39.84% ( -0.05)	27.88% ( -0.01)	32.28% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 47.66% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.8% (

0.06)

58.2% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.16% (

0.05)

78.84% (

-0.05)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.46%

28.54% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.68%

64.32% (

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.69% (

0.08)

33.31% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.07% (

0.08)

69.93% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 39.84%

Nacional 32.28%

Draw 27.88%

Casa Pia	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.84%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.88%	0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.28%