Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2024 6.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Ruben Kluivert 39' goal
  • Rafael Brito 48' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Batista 82' redcard
  • Beni Mukendi 89' yellowcard
  • Nermin Zolotic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Gomes 62'
  • yellowcard Ulisses 77'
  • yellowcard Nigel Thomas 86'

Casa Pia vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 0 Casa Pia
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Cassiano

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Sep 29, 2024 3.30pm
Famalicao 0 - 0 Nacional
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Daniel Penha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Casa Pia.

Result

Casa Pia 39.84% (-0.06)
Draw 27.88% (-0.02)
Nacional 32.28% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.66% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.8% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 58.2% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 21.16% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 78.84% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 9.01% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 90.99% (-0.03)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 71.46%
Under 0.5 28.54% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.68%
Under 1.5 64.32% (+0.01)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 66.69% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 33.31% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 30.07% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 69.93% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 39.84%
Draw 27.88%
Nacional 32.28%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 11.92% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 39.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.51% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.52% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.88%
Nacional
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 7.2% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.74% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.28%

Head to Head

Taca de Portugal
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
ET Estadio da Madeira
  • Andre Sousa 12' yellowcard
  • Luis Esteves 19' yellowcard
  • Joao Aurelio 42' yellowcard
  • Jordi Pola 83' yellowcard
  • Gustavo 88' yellowcard
  • Vladan Danilovic 96' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Lelo 30'
  • yellowcard Pablo Roberto 74'
  • yellowcard Clayton 80'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Batista 105'+1'
  • yellowcard Gaizka Larrazabal 105'+2'
Taca da Liga
Sep 28, 2023 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Pina Manique
  • Felippe Cardoso 15' yellowcard
  • Isaac Bernardo Neto Monteiro 37' yellowcard
  • Neto 42' yellowcard
  • Felippe Cardoso 55' goal
  • Leonardo Lelo 72' yellowcard
  • Clayton 90'+4' goal
  • goal Witi 3'
  • yellowcard Carlos Daniel 48'
Taca de Portugal
Feb 9, 2023 5.30pm
2
5
HT : 0 1
ET
  • Diogo Pinto 53' goal
  • Rafael Martins 80' goal
  • goal Luis Esteves 44'
  • goal Luis Esteves 46'
  • goal Vladan Danilovic 94'
  • goal Bruno Gomes 105'+3'
  • goal Gustavo 108'