Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Estadio da Medideira
Casa Pia

Amora
0 - 5
Casa Pia


Rafael da Costa Antunes (18'), Joao Marques Santos Batalha (36'), Miguel Pereira Duque (53'), Bettencourt de Oliveira Correia (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moreira (57', 75', 82'), Svensson Rio (84', 90+1' pen.)
Pedro Goulart Silva (13'), Benaissa-Yahia (30'), Cassiano (49')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Amora and Casa Pia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Amora

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Amora had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Amora win was 1-0 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
AmoraDrawCasa Pia
27.24% (-0.044 -0.04)24.7% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)48.05% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.2% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)47.8% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.01% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)69.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Amora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)31.59% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)68% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.05% (0.025000000000006 0.03)19.94% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.9% (0.039000000000001 0.04)52.1% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Amora 27.24%
    Casa Pia 48.04%
    Draw 24.7%
AmoraDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 7.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 27.24%
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 10.15%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.07% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.4% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.77% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 48.04%