Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 27, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
5 - 0
Rio Ave

Akturkoglu (12', 16', 45+2'), Schjelderup (79'), Amdouni (81')
di Maria (30')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Panzo (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 1-3 Feyenoord
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Atletico CP 1-3 Rio Ave
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.56%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 6.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.02%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Rio Ave
80.56% ( 1.86)	12.68% ( -0.7)	6.76% ( -1.16)

Both teams to score 47.27% (

-3.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.65% (

-1.28)

32.35% (

1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.02% (

-1.5)

53.97% (

1.5)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.82% (

0.09)

6.18% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.63% (

0.24)

23.37% (

-0.24)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.38% (

-3.98)

49.62% (

3.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.61% (

-2.96)

84.39% (

2.96)

Score Analysis

Benfica 80.55%

Rio Ave 6.76%

Draw 12.68%

Benfica	Draw	Rio Ave
2-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.91) 3-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.89) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.66) 4-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.39) 5-1 @ 3% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.41) 6-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.28) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.73% Total : 80.55%	1-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.46) Other @ 0.72% Total : 12.68%	0-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.34) Other @ 2.52% Total : 6.76%