Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.