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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 30.1% | 22.7% | 47.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.26% ( | 36.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.09% ( | 58.9% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( | 23.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% ( | 58.24% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% ( | 15.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.69% ( | 45.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 7.17% 1-0 @ 5.48% 2-0 @ 3.91% ( 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.1% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 6.57% 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.91% ( Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 9.2% 0-1 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 1-3 @ 5.62% 2-3 @ 4.01% 0-3 @ 3.94% 1-4 @ 2.58% 2-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.81% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.77% Total : 47.19% |