Taca de Portugal | Third Round

Oct 19, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Complexo Desportivo do Pevidem SC

Pevidem
0 - 2
Benfica

FT(HT: 0-1)

Beste (3', 75')
Fernandez (51')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Pevidem and Benfica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pevidem

Last Game: Pevidem 2-1 UD Oliveirense
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

Benfica

All competitions

Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Atletico
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 88.11%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Pevidem had a probability of 3.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.76%) and 0-4 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.14%), while for a Pevidem win it was 1-0 (1.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Pevidem	Draw	Benfica
3.12% ( 0.24)	8.77% ( 0.22)	88.11% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 35.26% (

1.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.57% (

0.57)

31.43% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.1% (

0.67)

52.9% (

-0.67)

Pevidem Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.97% (

1.82)

63.03% (

-1.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.88% (

0.82)

92.12% (

-0.82)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.37% (

0.01)

4.62% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.16% (

0.03)

18.84% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Pevidem 3.12%

Benfica 88.09%

Draw 8.77%

Pevidem	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.82% Total : 3.12%	1-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.25% Total : 8.77%	0-3 @ 14.1% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 13.76% ( -0.41) 0-4 @ 10.84% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.28) 0-5 @ 6.67% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 6.51% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 5.01% ( 0.18) 0-6 @ 3.42% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 3.08% ( 0.11) 1-6 @ 1.58% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.14) 0-7 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.67% Total : 88.09%