Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Pevidem had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Pevidem win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Pevidem
55.86% ( 0.16)	23.19% ( 0)	20.95% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 52.57% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.68% (

-0.22)

47.32% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.46% (

-0.2)

69.55% (

0.2)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.24% (

-0.02)

16.77% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.3% (

-0.04)

46.71% (

0.04)

Pevidem Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.16% (

-0.29)

36.85% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.37% (

-0.29)

73.64% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Chaves 55.86%

Pevidem 20.95%

Draw 23.19%

Chaves	Draw	Pevidem
1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 55.86%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.19%	0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 20.95%