Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira

Montalegre
2 - 1
Pevidem

Neves (30'), Jose Rodrigues (77')
David (45+2'), Goncalves (54'), Mauricio (84'), Neves (90+1'), Luis (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chico (8')
Pio (60')
Chico (90+1')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Montalegre and Pevidem.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montalegre

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Pevidem

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Last Game: Beira-Mar 3-2 Pevidem
Wednesday, November 9 at 4pm in Taca de Portugal
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pevidem win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montalegre had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pevidem win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Montalegre win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
MontalegreDrawPevidem
21.26% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)25.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.99% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.54% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.14% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)56.86% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.22% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)77.78% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Montalegre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.03% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)41.96% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.6% (-0.023 -0.02)78.4% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Pevidem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)21.52% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.41% (-0.012 -0.01)54.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Montalegre 21.26%
    Pevidem 52.98%
    Draw 25.74%
MontalegreDrawPevidem
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 3.41% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 21.26%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 9.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 13.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 5.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 52.98%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Montalegre
>
Beira-Mar 3-2 Pevidem