Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Machado de Matos
Chaves

Felgueiras 1932
1 - 0
Chaves

FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Felgueiras 1932 and Chaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Felgueiras 1932

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Felgueiras 1932 1-3 Arouca
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Taca de Portugal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Chaves

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Chaves
Saturday, May 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Felgueiras 1932 win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Felgueiras 1932 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Felgueiras 1932 in this match.

Result
Felgueiras 1932DrawChaves
46.03% (-0.528 -0.53)24.58% (0.133 0.13)29.4% (0.393 0.39)
Both teams to score 56.73% (-0.196 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.08% (-0.373 -0.37)45.92% (0.371 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.77% (-0.356 -0.36)68.23% (0.35300000000001 0.35)
Felgueiras 1932 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96% (-0.375 -0.38)20.04% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.74% (-0.60599999999999 -0.61)52.26% (0.605 0.61)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.95% (0.085999999999999 0.09)29.05% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.04% (0.10899999999999 0.11)64.96% (-0.111 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Felgueiras 1932 46.03%
    Chaves 29.4%
    Draw 24.57%
Felgueiras 1932DrawChaves
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 46.03%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.4%