Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Nov 2, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
1 - 2
Benfica

Poveda (15')
Neto (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fernandez (21'), Pavlidis (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 2-0 Farense
Sunday, October 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara
Wednesday, October 30 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.57%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 8.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.2%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a SC Farense win it was 2-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Benfica
8.31% ( -0.03)	14.12% ( 0.04)	77.57% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.75% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.51% (

-0.32)

33.49% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.72% (

-0.36)

55.28% (

0.36)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.49% (

-0.3)

46.51% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.89% (

-0.23)

82.11% (

0.23)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93% (

-0.07)

6.99% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.4% (

-0.19)

25.6% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 8.31%

Benfica 77.55%

Draw 14.12%

SC Farense	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 8.31%	1-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.87% Total : 14.12%	0-2 @ 11.5% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 10.2% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 5.2% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 0-6 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 1-6 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.36% Total : 77.55%