/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Ffarlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
-
Dario Poveda
15'
-
Neto
84'
-
Alvaro Fernandez
21'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
54'
SC Farense vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.57%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 8.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.2%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a SC Farense win it was 2-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
SC Farense
8.31%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
14.12%
▲
(+0.04)
Benfica
77.57%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
49.75%
▼
(-0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.51%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 2.5
33.49%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 3.5
44.72%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 3.5
55.28%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 4.5
26.05%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 4.5
73.94%
▲
(+0.32)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5
53.49%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 0.5
46.51%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 1.5
17.89%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 1.5
82.11%
▲
(+0.24)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
93%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
6.99%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
74.4%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
25.6%
▲
(+0.19)
Score analysis
SC Farense
8.31%
Draw
14.12%
Benfica
77.55%
SC Farense
2-1
@
2.54%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 8.31%
1-0 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 8.31%
Draw
1-1
@
6.63%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 14.12%
2-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 14.12%
Benfica
0-2
@
11.5%
▲
(+0.10)
0-3 @ 10.2% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.04)
0-5 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.04)
1-5 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.04)
0-6 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.02)
1-6 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
2-5 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 77.55%
0-3 @ 10.2% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.04)
0-5 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.04)
1-5 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.04)
0-6 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.02)
1-6 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
2-5 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 77.55%