Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 73.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 11.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.