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Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Farense logo

Braga
2 - 0
Farense

Gharbi (41'), El Ouazzani (70')
Niakate (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Millan (56'), Neto (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, October 23 at 3.30pm in Europa League

SC Farense

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sanjoanense 2-4 Farense
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 73.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 11.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.

Result
BragaDrawSC Farense
73.06% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)15.79% (0.025 0.03)11.14% (0.165 0.16)
Both teams to score 55.3% (0.528 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.61% (0.36800000000001 0.37)32.39% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.98% (0.42599999999999 0.43)54.01% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.34% (0.046999999999997 0.05)7.65% (-0.049 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.68% (0.124 0.12)27.32% (-0.125 -0.13)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.88% (0.541 0.54)40.11% (-0.544 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.24% (0.49 0.49)76.75% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Braga 73.06%
    SC Farense 11.14%
    Draw 15.79%
BragaDrawSC Farense
2-0 @ 10.13% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.26%
3-0 @ 8.69% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.93% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 5.58% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
4-1 @ 5.1% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.062 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.87% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.62% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.33% (0.046 0.05)
6-0 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.026 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 73.06%
1-1 @ 7.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.062 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.07% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.79%
1-2 @ 3.29% (0.04 0.04)
0-1 @ 2.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 11.14%

How you voted: Braga vs Farense

Braga
93.9%
Draw
6.1%
SC Farense
0.0%
33
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 22
Braga
2-1
Farense
Banza (62'), Ndour (85')
Zalazar (45'), Fonte (63'), Djalo (73'), Magalhaes (89'), Niakate (90+6')
Belloumi (74')
Falcao (36'), Duarte (39'), Pastor (40')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Farense
3-1
Braga
Duarte (31'), Costa (44'), Belloumi (58')
Silva (37'), Talocha (62'), Costa (71'), Jorge (90')
Banza (56')
Moutinho (37'), Ruiz (50'), Oliveira (83'), Zalazar (86'), Elmusrati (90+4')
> Preview
Apr 5, 2021 6.45pm
Gameweek 25
Farense
1-2
Braga
P (34')
Elmusrati (29'), Sporar (90+1')
Borja (49')
> Preview
Nov 29, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 8
Braga
1-0
Farense
Elmusrati (87')
Carmo (3'), Fransergio (58'), Novais (79')

Oudrhiri (46'), Falcao (81'), Gauld (90+2')
> Preview