Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2024 at 2pm UK
Estadio Conde Dias Garcia
Farense logo

Sanjoanense
2 - 4
Farense

Pisco (51'), Neves (73')
Pisco (54'), Fonseca (62'), Silva (65'), Miguel Correia Pinto (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bermejo (10', 47'), Quindera Maneta (70' og.)
Africo (11'), Neto (33'), Fonseca (64'), Jorge (64'), Poloni (90'), Poloni (90')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Sanjoanense and SC Farense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanjoanense

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Rabo Peixe 2-0 Sanjoanense
Wednesday, November 9 at 3.30pm in Taca de Portugal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

SC Farense

All competitions
Last Game: Farense 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Sanjoanense had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Sanjoanense win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
SanjoanenseDrawSC Farense
26.1% (0.186 0.19)25.49% (0.013999999999999 0.01)48.41% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 51.36% (0.121 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.19% (0.081000000000003 0.08)51.81% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.42% (0.068999999999999 0.07)73.57% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Sanjoanense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.199 0.2)34.64% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.64% (0.211 0.21)71.36% (-0.212 -0.21)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)21.41% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.58% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)54.41% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sanjoanense 26.1%
    SC Farense 48.41%
    Draw 25.49%
SanjoanenseDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.43% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.17% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 26.1%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 11.43% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.81% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.53% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 48.41%

rhs 2.0


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