Taca de Portugal | Third Round

Oct 19, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio do Real SC

1e Dezembro
1 - 2
Braga

de Morais (74')
Filipa Silva Dias (39'), Fernando Brito Bernardo (80'), Vinicius de Souza Soares (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zalazar (21'), Moutinho (90+6')
Martinez (49')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between 1e Dezembro and Braga.

Form, Standings, Stats

1e Dezembro

Last Game: Mafra 3-0 1e Dezembro
Wednesday, July 24 at 12am in Club Friendlies 3

Braga

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Braga
Sunday, October 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 85.64%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for 1e Dezembro had a probability of 3.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.86%) and 0-1 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.9%), while for a 1e Dezembro win it was 1-0 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
1e Dezembro	Draw	Braga
3.91% ( 0.11)	10.45% ( 0.21)	85.64% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 35.66% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.43% (

-0.44)

35.57% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.38% (

-0.49)

57.62% (

0.49)

1e Dezembro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.86% (

0.18)

62.14% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.3% (

0.09)

91.7% (

-0.09)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.17% (

-0.14)

5.83% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.61% (

-0.41)

22.39% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

1e Dezembro 3.91%

Braga 85.63%

Draw 10.45%

1e Dezembro	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.03% Total : 3.91%	1-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 10.45%	0-2 @ 14.62% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 13.86% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 9.85% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 5.6% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 4.69% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 0-6 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 0-7 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 85.63%