Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 13.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Santa Clara
66.24% ( -1.81)	20.23% ( 0.98)	13.53% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 46.9% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.88% (

-2.36)

47.12% (

2.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.65% (

-2.23)

69.35% (

2.23)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.65% (

-1.23)

13.35% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.76% (

-2.53)

40.24% (

2.53)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.12% (

-0.16)

45.87% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.38% (

-0.13)

81.62% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Benfica 66.23%

Santa Clara 13.53%

Draw 20.23%

Benfica	Draw	Santa Clara
2-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.3) 4-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.38) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.24) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.71% Total : 66.23%	1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.23%	0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.21% Total : 13.53%