Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for AVS had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | AVS |
| 41.32% ( | 27.92% ( | 30.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.29% ( | 58.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.76% ( | 79.24% ( |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( | 27.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.42% ( | 63.58% ( |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.32% ( | 34.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.6% ( | 71.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | AVS |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 41.32% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 2-2 @ 4.42% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 2-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 30.76% |