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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 1, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Braga

AVS
0 - 1
Braga


Fonseca (25'), Piazon (85'), Grau (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (69')
Bruma (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Lusitano Evora 3-2 AVS
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 3-0 Hoffenheim
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 70.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for AVS had a probability of 11.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.88%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
AVSDrawBraga
11.08% (-0.359 -0.36)18.23% (-0.198 -0.2)70.69% (0.55800000000001 0.56)
Both teams to score 45.89% (-0.56 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.61% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)44.38% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.24% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)66.76% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.74% (-0.70500000000001 -0.71)48.26% (0.706 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.58% (-0.521 -0.52)83.42% (0.521 0.52)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.7% (0.12599999999999 0.13)11.3% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.06% (0.274 0.27)35.93% (-0.271 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    AVS 11.08%
    Braga 70.68%
    Draw 18.23%
AVSDrawBraga
1-0 @ 3.97% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-1 @ 3.16% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 1.45% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 11.08%
1-1 @ 8.66% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 18.23%
0-2 @ 12.96% (0.18 0.18)
0-1 @ 11.88% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 9.42% (0.177 0.18)
1-3 @ 6.87% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 5.14% (0.122 0.12)
1-4 @ 3.74% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-5 @ 2.24% (0.064 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.63% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 70.68%

How you voted: AVS vs Braga

AVS
11.4%
Draw
4.5%
Braga
84.1%
44