Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Elfsborg	Draw	Braga
29.6% ( 0.04)	23.74% ( 0.03)	46.66% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 59.75% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.01% (

-0.13)

41.99% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.6% (

-0.13)

64.39% (

0.13)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.06% (

-0.03)

26.93% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.73% (

-0.05)

62.26% (

0.05)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.78% (

-0.08)

18.22% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.76% (

-0.13)

49.23% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Elfsborg 29.6%

Braga 46.66%

Draw 23.73%

Elfsborg	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.6%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.73%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.66%