Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Nov 3, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
1 - 2
Braga

Sylla (90')
Trezza (6'), Fontan (9'), Simao (24')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bruma (16' pen.), El Ouazzani (55')
Zalazar (28'), Carvalho (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 4-1 Arouca
Saturday, October 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 2-1 Guimaraes
Thursday, October 31 at 6.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for an Arouca win it was 2-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Braga
19.87% ( 0.74)	21.55% ( 0.23)	58.58% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 56.28% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.44% (

0.04)

41.55% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.04% (

0.04)

63.95% (

-0.05)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.36% (

0.78)

34.63% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.64% (

0.82)

71.36% (

-0.83)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.1% (

-0.28)

13.89% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.69% (

-0.56)

41.31% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Arouca 19.87%

Braga 58.58%

Draw 21.54%

Arouca	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.87%	1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.54%	1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 6.54% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 6.17% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.23% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.14% Total : 58.58%