Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Arouca
Nov 3, 2024 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Braga
  • Alfonso Trezza 6' yellowcard
  • Jose Fontan 9' yellowcard
  • David Simao 24' yellowcard
  • Morlaye Sylla 90' goal
  • goal Bruma 16'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Zalazar 28'
  • goal Amine El Ouazzani 55'
  • yellowcard Vitor Carvalho 70'

Arouca vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2024 3.30pm
Estoril 4 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Alfonso Trezza

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Oct 27, 2024 3.30pm
Braga 2 - 0 Farense
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for an Arouca win it was 2-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.

Result

Arouca 19.87% ▲ (+0.74)
Draw 21.55% ▲ (+0.24)
Braga 58.58% ▼ (-0.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.28% ▲ (+0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.44% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 41.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 36.04% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 63.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 19.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 80.95% ▼ (-0.04)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 65.36% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 0.5 34.63% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 1.5 28.64% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 1.5 71.36% ▼ (-0.83)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 86.1% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 0.5 13.89% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 1.5 58.69% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 1.5 41.31% ▲ (+0.56)

Score analysis

Arouca 19.87%
Draw 21.54%
Braga 58.58%
Arouca
2-1 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.17)
1-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 19.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.06% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.54%
Braga
1-2 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.22)
1-3 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.08)
0-4 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.14)
2-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.05)
0-5 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 58.58%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Braga
Apr 6, 2024 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
Arouca
  • Joao Moutinho 45'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francisco Montero 9'
  • goal Serdar Saatci 29' (OG)
  • goal Rafa Mujica 34'
  • yellowcard David Simao 46'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 62'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Arouca
Nov 12, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Braga
  • David Simao 40' yellowcard
  • Pedro Santos 88' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 36'
  • yellowcard Bruma 46'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Matheus Magalhaes 85'
  • yellowcard Abel Ruiz 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Braga
Feb 19, 2023 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
Arouca
  • Abel Ruiz 1' goal
  • Simon Banza 81' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Arouca
Aug 28, 2022 6.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 4
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Braga
  • Rafael Fernandes 6' yellowcard
  • David Simao 38' yellowcard
  • Bogdan Milovanov 39' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Banza 1'
  • goal Ricardo Horta 4'
  • yellowcard Iuri Medeiros 19'
  • yellowcard Ali Elmusrati 21'
  • goal Ricardo Horta 40'
  • goal Vitor Oliveira 44'
  • yellowcard Diego Lainez 48'
  • goal Andre Castro 67'
  • goal Diego Lainez 76'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Braga
May 8, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Arouca
  • Ricardo Horta 87' goal
  • yellowcard Arsenio Nunes 84'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Arouca
Dec 30, 2021 7.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT
Braga
  • Eugeni Valderrama 9' yellowcard
  • Armando Evangelista 45'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Vitor Oliveira 5'
  • goal Vitor Oliveira 12'
  • goal Vitor Oliveira 26'
  • yellowcard Yan Couto 54'
  • goal Iuri Medeiros 71'
  • yellowcard Lucas Mineiro 72'
  • goal Roger Fernandes 74'
  • goal Roger Fernandes 80'

Form Data

Estoril 4 - 1 Arouca
Maria da Fonte 0 - 5 Arouca
Arouca 1 - 1 AVS
Porto 4 - 0 Arouca
Farense 0 - 1 Arouca
Arouca 0 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Braga 2 - 1 Guimaraes
Braga 2 - 0 Farense
Braga 1 - 2 Bodo/Glimt
1e Dezembro 1 - 2 Braga
Porto 2 - 1 Braga
Olympiacos 3 - 0 Braga