Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 55.23%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 23.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
Galatasaray	Draw	Elfsborg
55.23% ( -0.28)	21.5% ( 0.05)	23.27% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 61.62% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.14% (

0.06)

36.86% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.96% (

0.07)

59.04% (

-0.06)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.63% (

-0.06)

13.37% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.74% (

-0.13)

40.26% (

0.14)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

0.23)

28.88% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.25% (

0.28)

64.75% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Galatasaray 55.23%

Elfsborg 23.27%

Draw 21.5%

Galatasaray	Draw	Elfsborg
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.04% 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.81% Total : 55.23%	1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.5%	1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.3% Total : 23.27%