Galatasaray
Europa League | League Stage
Sep 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Rams Global Stadium
PAOK

Galatasaray
3 - 1
PAOK

Rahman (48' og.), Akgun (76'), Icardi (90+5')
Ayhan (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Konstantelias (67')
Ozdoyev (28'), Lucescu (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Galatasaray and PAOK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-3 Galatasaray
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Volos 1-4 PAOK
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest PAOK win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Galatasaray in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Galatasaray.

Result
GalatasarayDrawPAOK
44.97% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)23.62% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)31.39% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.2% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.46% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)40.53% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.08% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)62.91% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.67% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)18.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.58% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)49.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.07% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)59.75% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 44.97%
    PAOK 31.39%
    Draw 23.62%
GalatasarayDrawPAOK
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.39%

How you voted: Galatasaray vs PAOK

Galatasaray
86.5%
Draw
8.0%
PAOK
5.5%
237
rhs 2.0


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