Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 65.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.