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Europa League

PAOK
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
Shamrock Rovers

PAOK
4 - 0
Shamrock

Rahman (41', 90+4'), Cleary (45+5' og.), Taison (47'), Konstantelias (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Honohan (33'), Grace (90+2'), Cleary (90+3')
Honohan (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between PAOK and Shamrock Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

All competitions
Last Game: PAOK 3-2 Panserraikos
Saturday, August 17 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Shamrock 3-1 Celje
Thursday, August 15 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 56.54%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 21.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawShamrock Rovers
56.54% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)21.61% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)21.85% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.23% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.88% (0.033000000000001 0.03)39.12% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.55% (0.033999999999999 0.03)61.44% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.28%13.71% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.03% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)40.96% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.039000000000001 0.04)31.35% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (0.045999999999999 0.05)67.72% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 56.54%
    Shamrock Rovers 21.85%
    Draw 21.61%
PAOKDrawShamrock Rovers
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.54% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.52%
3-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.24%
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.29%
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 56.54%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 21.85%

How you voted: PAOK vs Shamrock

PAOK
90.1%
Draw
6.9%
Shamrock Rovers
3.0%
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