Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 56.54%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 21.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.