Braga
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Hoffenheim logo

Braga
3 - 0
Hoffenheim

Bruma (2'), Fernandes (8'), Carvalho (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hlozek (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leixoes 0-2 Braga
Saturday, November 23 at 6.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawHoffenheim
52.6% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)22.09% (0.011999999999997 0.01)25.31% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 61.94% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.5% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)37.49% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.28% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)59.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.59% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)14.41% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.68% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)42.32% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.37% (0.042000000000002 0.04)27.63% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.83% (0.056000000000004 0.06)63.16% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Braga 52.6%
    Hoffenheim 25.31%
    Draw 22.09%
BragaDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.99%
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 52.6%
1-1 @ 9.92% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.98%
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.09%
1-2 @ 6.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 25.31%

How you voted: Braga vs Hoffenheim

Braga
60.7%
Draw
22.5%
Hoffenheim
16.9%
89
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2017 8.05pm
Group Stage
Braga
3-1
Hoffenheim
Goiano (1'), Fransergio (82', 90')
Carlos Teixeira (76'), Esgaio (80'), Goiano (85'), Hassan (90'), Ferreira (90')
Uth (74')
Grillitsch (62'), Demirbay (70'), Amiri (79'), Szalai (86'), Uth (90'), Schulz (90')
Szalai (90')
Sep 14, 2017 6pm
Group Stage
Hoffenheim
1-2
Braga
Wagner (24')
Nordtveit (42'), Demirbay (89')
Teixeira (45'), Sousa (50')
Silva (87')