DFB-Pokal | Second Round

Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

DnB NOR Arena

Hoffenheim
2 - 1
Nuremberg

Tabakovic (27'), Chaves (71')
Tohumcu (30'), Stach (37'), Matarazzo (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Madatov (47')
Tzimas (1'), Justvan (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Hoffenheim and Nuremberg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Heidenheim 0-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, October 27 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nuremberg

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Nuremberg 8-3 Jahn
Friday, October 25 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.66%) and 1-0 (5.19%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hoffenheim in this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Nuremberg
45.82% ( -1.56)	21.51% ( -0.04)	32.67% ( 1.59)

Both teams to score 69.85% (

0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.51% (

0.95)

29.49% (

-0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.43% (

1.15)

50.57% (

-1.15)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.28% (

-0.15)

13.72% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.03% (

-0.3)

40.97% (

0.3)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.96% (

1.28)

19.04% (

-1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.37% (

2.09)

50.63% (

-2.09)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 45.82%

Nuremberg 32.67%

Draw 21.51%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Nuremberg
2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.13) 4-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 45.82%	1-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.51%	1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.15) 3-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.42% Total : 32.67%