Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.27%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.