Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.25%) and 0-2 (5.17%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for SC Paderborn in this match.