Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hannover would win this match.