2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 12pm UK
Donaustadion
Nuremberg logo

Ulm
1 - 2
Nuremberg

Telalovic (51')
Maier (21'), Soares (72'), Brandt (88'), Ulrich (90+6'), Ortag (90+9'), Duman (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tzimas (64'), Duman (90+9' pen.)
Jander (45+1'), Justvan (54'), Okunuki (58'), Castrop (65'), Okunuki (67'), Reichert (90+9')
Tzimas (90+10')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between SSV Ulm and Nuremberg.

Form, Standings, Stats

SSV Ulm

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: SC Paderborn 0-0 Ulm
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Nuremberg

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Nuremberg 0-4 Magdeburg
Saturday, August 31 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest SSV Ulm win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Nuremberg in this match.

Result
SSV UlmDrawNuremberg
34.18% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)24.29% (0.016000000000002 0.02)41.54% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 59.9% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.31% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)42.69% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.9% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)65.1% (0.086999999999989 0.09)
SSV Ulm Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)24.46% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.1% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)58.9% (0.103 0.1)
Nuremberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (-0.012 -0.01)20.7% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.7% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)53.3% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    SSV Ulm 34.18%
    Nuremberg 41.54%
    Draw 24.28%
SSV UlmDrawNuremberg
2-1 @ 7.91% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.18%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.97% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.28% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 41.54%

Head to Head
Aug 7, 2021 5.30pm
First Round
Ulm
0-1
Nuremberg

Stoll (69'), Ruhle (83'), Reichert (90+5')
Duman (79')
Handwerker (33'), Krauss (90+2'), Borkowski (90+5')