Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.