Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.