2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Donaustadion

Ulm
1 - 2
Kaiserslautern

Higl (48')
Chessa (45'), Strompf (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tomiak (77' pen.), Opoku (83')
Heuer (56'), Kaloc (63'), Hanslik (90+3')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between SSV Ulm and Kaiserslautern.

Form, Standings, Stats

SSV Ulm

All competitions
Last Game: Ulm 2-2 Stuttgart II
Sunday, July 28 at 1.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Kaiserslautern

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 2-0 1860 Munich
Saturday, July 27 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest SSV Ulm win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.

Result
SSV UlmDrawKaiserslautern
28.48% (-0.235 -0.23)25.82% (0.146 0.15)45.69% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.11% (-0.608 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.31% (-0.718 -0.72)51.69% (0.717 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.53% (-0.627 -0.63)73.47% (0.626 0.63)
SSV Ulm Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (-0.554 -0.55)32.69% (0.553 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76% (-0.622 -0.62)69.24% (0.621 0.62)
Kaiserslautern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (-0.264 -0.26)22.59% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.81% (-0.393 -0.39)56.19% (0.393 0.39)
Score Analysis
    SSV Ulm 28.48%
    Kaiserslautern 45.69%
    Draw 25.82%
SSV UlmDrawKaiserslautern
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.111 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.87% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 28.48%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.38% (0.209 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.17% (0.106 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.05% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.69%

How you voted: Ulm vs Kaiserslautern

SSV Ulm
16.7%
Draw
20.0%
Kaiserslautern
63.3%
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