Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest SSV Ulm win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.