DFB-Pokal
-
Thomas Geyer
17'
-
Tobias Ruhle
37'
-
Johannes Reichert
43'
-
Adrian Beck
76'
-
Vinko Sapina
86'
-
Felix Higl
89'
-
Anton Fink
90'+1'
-
Felix Higl
90'+2'
-
Ognjen Gnjatic
57'
-
Florian Ballas
60'
SSV Ulm vs Erzgebirge Aue - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SSV Ulm win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SSV Ulm win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SSV Ulm would win this match.
Result
SSV Ulm
41.8%
Draw
22.7%
Erzgebirge Aue
35.49%
Both Teams to Score:
66.2%
Goals
Over 2.5
65.38%
Under 2.5
34.62%
Over 3.5
43.44%
Under 3.5
56.56%
SSV Ulm Goals
Over 0.5
82.78%
Under 0.5
17.22%
Over 1.5
52.49%
Under 1.5
47.51%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5
79.97%
Under 0.5
20.03%
Over 1.5
47.76%
Under 1.5
52.24%
Score analysis
SSV Ulm
41.8%
Draw
22.7%
Erzgebirge Aue
35.49%
SSV Ulm
2-1
@
8.58%
1-0 @ 6.07%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 41.8%
1-0 @ 6.07%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 41.8%
Draw
1-1
@
9.76%
2-2 @ 6.9%
0-0 @ 3.45%
3-3 @ 2.17%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.7%
2-2 @ 6.9%
0-0 @ 3.45%
3-3 @ 2.17%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.7%
Erzgebirge Aue
1-2
@
7.84%
0-1 @ 5.55%
0-2 @ 4.46%
1-3 @ 4.2%
2-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.69%
2-4 @ 1.49%
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 35.49%
0-1 @ 5.55%
0-2 @ 4.46%
1-3 @ 4.2%
2-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.69%
2-4 @ 1.49%
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 35.49%