Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Karlsruher SC.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Erzgebirge Aue in this match.
| Result | ||
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
| 39.27% | 26.37% | 34.35% |
| Both teams to score 52.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.07% | 51.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.32% | 73.67% |
| Erzgebirge Aue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% | 25.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% | 60.89% |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% | 28.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.38% | 64.61% |
| Score Analysis |
Erzgebirge Aue 39.27%
Karlsruher SC 34.35%
Draw 26.37%
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.36% Total : 39.27% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.28% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.35% |


